Sane-Locality
0x713b63e4eccb6644aeaae4077c69a6b5e07eee60
Sane-Locality: +$13K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 26%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$13K
return +25.7%
Settled bets
17
$49K staked
Won
47.1%
95% range 26%–69%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$13K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | SELL Thiago Seyboth Wild
@ 53¢
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matej Dodig |
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matej Dodig | $10K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Pedro Martinez
@ 80¢
Genoa: Laslo Djere vs Pedro Martinez |
Genoa: Laslo Djere vs Pedro Martinez | $12K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Pedro Martinez
@ 36¢
Genoa: Laslo Djere vs Pedro Martinez |
Genoa: Laslo Djere vs Pedro Martinez | $4.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Noma Noha Akugue
@ 45¢
Montreux: Noma Noha Akugue vs Guiomar Maristany |
Montreux: Noma Noha Akugue vs Guiomar Maristany | $4.5K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Titouan Droguet
@ 68¢
Cassis: Titouan Droguet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer |
Cassis: Titouan Droguet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | $8.4K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Titouan Droguet
@ 68¢
Cassis: Titouan Droguet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer |
Cassis: Titouan Droguet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | $7.6K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Irene Burillo Escorihuela
@ 91¢
Antalya 4: Rositsa Dencheva vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela |
Antalya 4: Rositsa Dencheva vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela | $8.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Pavel Kotov
@ 51¢
Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Marat Sharipov |
Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Marat Sharipov | $4.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.