Hidden-Dot
0x70dc005e4abe3a4f66d80686372535219fe11dfd
Hidden-Dot: −$28K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 21%–57%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$28K
return −45.4%
Settled bets
24
$61K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 21%–57%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$946
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$28K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$989
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Alicia Dudeney
@ 34¢
Samsun: Alicia Dudeney vs Ayla Aksu |
Samsun: Alicia Dudeney vs Ayla Aksu | $1.7K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Roberto Soldic
@ 66¢
UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card) |
UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card) | $1.4K |
| Sep 23 | BUY ZSK
@ 23¢
LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D |
LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | BUY ZSK
@ 25¢
LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D |
LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Athletics
@ 62¢
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) |
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) | $1.9K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Over
@ 53¢
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5 |
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5 | $1.4K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Himeno Sakatsume
@ 50¢
Korea Open: Taylah Preston vs Himeno Sakatsume |
Korea Open: Taylah Preston vs Himeno Sakatsume | $1.6K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Himeno Sakatsume
@ 50¢
Korea Open: Taylah Preston vs Himeno Sakatsume |
Korea Open: Taylah Preston vs Himeno Sakatsume | $6.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.