Weary-Curve

0x70a6798edbf21eb25cbb749569796d1e641aa2eb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Weary-Curve: +$2.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.5K
return +25.2%
Settled bets
6
$9.9K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 27 BUY Athletic Club @ 43¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) $1.9K
Aug 27 BUY No @ 66¢
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-27?
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-27? $1.9K
Aug 25 BUY Yes @ 56¢
Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-08-25?
Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-08-25? $1.4K
Aug 25 BUY Yes @ 65¢
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-25?
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-25? $2.2K
Aug 24 BUY Under @ 39¢
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5 $1.4K
Aug 24 BUY Under @ 47¢
VSG Altglienicke vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
VSG Altglienicke vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5 $1.1K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed