Difficult-Moment
0x6ec6340ba864d8ffd64a9c0d57e3e149bf19698b
Difficult-Moment: −$5.5K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 21%–72%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$5.5K
return −20.1%
Settled bets
11
$28K staked
Won
45.5%
95% range 21%–72%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Vitality
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | $2.2K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5 |
Games Total: O/U 2.5 | $3.6K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Vitality
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Vitality
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 18 | BUY FURIA
@ 60¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5) | $7.9K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 50¢
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) | $3.8K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | $7.8K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 65¢
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | $5.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.