Mellow-Archeology
0x6e32312760e4604d45a8ae69cede9ef9a0b8ab65
Mellow-Archeology: −$1.4K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 25%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.4K
return −7.9%
Settled bets
12
$17K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 25%–75%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$845
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$634
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY TLN Pirates
@ 59¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Solary
@ 46¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Solary
@ 45¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Solary
@ 39¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY RED Canids
@ 50¢
LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs |
LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY RED Canids
@ 45¢
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs |
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 49¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 44¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.