Criminal-Budget

0x6d859acc59c6b9cbddc6474a68081ea30fcdeec7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Criminal-Budget: +$30 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 61%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$30
return +0.2%
Settled bets
6
$14K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 61%–100%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$16
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$10
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$4
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 99.83¢
Will PSV win on 2026-10-09?
Will PSV win on 2026-10-09? $1.5K
Sep 26 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26?
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26? $1.0K
Sep 17 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17?
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? $3.7K
Sep 13 BUY Jets @ 99.9¢
Jets vs. Titans
Jets vs. Titans $1.9K
Sep 8 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $4.2K
Sep 5 BUY G2 Esports @ 99¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner $1.6K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed