Generous-Tinderbox

0x6ba504f1a6ec4da8c16c8580ab2123bbaaff0f16

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Generous-Tinderbox: +$4 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4
return +0.2%
Settled bets
2
$2.3K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$4
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 24 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24? $1.2K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 99.73¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23? $1.2K
Aug 20 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20? $1.2K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed