Defiant-Newsletter
0x6b9cd6187b27fdbf70385819b4876aa1022e704e
Defiant-Newsletter: +$65 on 46 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 9% (95% range 3%–20%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$65
return +2.2%
Settled bets
46
$3.0K staked
Won
8.7%
95% range 3%–20%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$2.3K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$876
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$1.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.0K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Team WE
@ 58¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | SELL BNK FEARX
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $5.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $2.1K |
| Oct 3 | SELL RED Canids
@ 99.9¢
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $2.2K |
| Sep 25 | SELL Dplus KIA Challengers
@ 85¢
LoL: FENNEL vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C |
LoL: FENNEL vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.