Knotty-Necessity
0x6b0f706a1edd66cc65378edd91b7e480f756740f
Knotty-Necessity: −$1.2K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.2K
return −16.1%
Settled bets
6
$7.4K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 98¢
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 4.5 |
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 4.5 | $2.2K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? | $2.1K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Minnesota
@ 95¢
Minnesota vs. Washington |
Minnesota vs. Washington | $1.8K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Aurora
@ 98¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Sep 24 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 95¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $1.6K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Team Lynx
@ 82¢
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs |
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Sep 21 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 97¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $1.1K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.