Large-Silicon

0x696e5ccc7982bfbe05345e2b1ba9db44e3c00668

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Large-Silicon: −$4.5K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 3%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.5K
return −66.0%
Settled bets
7
$6.8K staked
Won
14.3%
95% range 3%–51%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.1K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Team Yandex @ 52¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner $2.6K
Oct 3 SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner $3.0K
Oct 3 SELL OG @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner $3.0K
Oct 1 BUY Team Liquid @ 52¢
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) $1.6K
Sep 30 SELL Team Nemesis @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner $1.7K
Sep 26 BUY Natus Vincere @ 63¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Sep 5 BUY Vitality @ 55¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner $1.1K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed