Miniature-Parameter
0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89d
Miniature-Parameter: −$17K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$17K
return −71.4%
Settled bets
3
$24K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$14K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 39¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $14K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 30¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $5.3K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 63¢
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $4.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.