Loathsome-Underwriting

0x69678763da60044c0702b326c333badbd8851986

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Loathsome-Underwriting: −$5.9K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 12%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.9K
return −37.3%
Settled bets
9
$16K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 12%–65%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$2.4K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$3.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY MOUZ @ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $2.4K
Sep 27 BUY 3DMAX @ 38¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs $1.4K
Sep 26 BUY Heroic @ 80¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs $2.0K
Sep 25 BUY 3DMAX @ 64¢
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner $1.5K
Sep 25 BUY 100 Thieves @ 62¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 20 BUY Vitality @ 62¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner $1.5K
Sep 20 BUY FURIA @ 34¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 18 BUY MIBR @ 71¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $3.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed