Striking-Refusal

0x67bf4b0a08295c7683dab13bfbbd235b8e44f983

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Striking-Refusal: +$805 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$805
return —
Settled bets
5
$0 staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$31
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$188
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 SELL Under @ 35¢
Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5
Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5 $1.1K
Oct 1 SELL Over @ 98¢
Argentina vs. Bolivia: O/U 3.5
Argentina vs. Bolivia: O/U 3.5 $1.3K
Sep 17 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 $1.3K
Sep 13 SELL Under @ 91¢
RB Leipzig vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 5.5
RB Leipzig vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 5.5 $1.9K
Aug 30 SELL Yes @ 99¢
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30? $3.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed