Ideal-Copying
0x67bb64fac5252df3f61ee2d91a4b1350e40eb6ef
Ideal-Copying: −$15K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 7%–45%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$15K
return −70.1%
Settled bets
15
$21K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 7%–45%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$15K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2 | SELL Miami Marlins
@ 69¢
Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals |
Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals | $1.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Fire Flux Esports
@ 42¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs |
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Aug 28 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Leviatán Esports
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner |
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner | $5.4K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Lynn Vision
@ 71¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $2.1K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Legacy
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner | $2.4K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Legacy
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $2.5K |
| Aug 26 | BUY paiN
@ 28¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winner | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.