Wilted-Airfield-Diaphragm
0x67790a06dd5a6f8213feb998b1b83f86be492ff6
Wilted-Airfield-Diaphragm: +$93 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$93
return +8.4%
Settled bets
2
$1.1K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$96
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL No
@ 88¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | $1.8K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? |
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | $1.0K |
| Sep 26 | SELL No
@ 99.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | $1.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 92¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | SELL No
@ 88¢
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | $1.8K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.