Gaseous-Presume-Keyboard
0x66eb58b599f3811b599ebad0ed8427c70c8761cf
Gaseous-Presume-Keyboard: −$18K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$18K
return −97.3%
Settled bets
6
$18K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$18K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | BUY G2
@ 70¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $8.9K |
| Sep 8 | SELL Astralis
@ 30¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $1.3K |
| Sep 8 | SELL FURIA
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B |
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | $21K |
| Sep 8 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 68¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | $2.5K |
| Sep 8 | BUY FaZe
@ 51¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B |
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | $6.8K |
| Sep 8 | SELL MIBR
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $14K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.