Eager-Cough

0x66ca7fee3d820d801c319a7aede56a9d53c08078

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Eager-Cough: +$97 on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 86%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$97
return +0.2%
Settled bets
23
$43K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 86%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$31
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$30
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$36
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Al Ahli Saudi Club @ 99.88¢
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-3.5)
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-3.5) $1.3K
Oct 8 BUY FC Universitatea Cluj @ 99.9¢
Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5)
Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5) $1.0K
Oct 8 BUY Al Duhail SC @ 99.72¢
Spread: Al Duhail SC (-3.5)
Spread: Al Duhail SC (-3.5) $1.5K
Oct 7 SELL Yes @ 68¢
Exact Score: Real Betis Seville 0 - 0 AD Ceuta?
Exact Score: Real Betis Seville 0 - 0 AD Ceuta? $14K
Oct 7 SELL Yes @ 62¢
Exact Score: Real Betis Seville 0 - 0 AD Ceuta?
Exact Score: Real Betis Seville 0 - 0 AD Ceuta? $1.8K
Oct 5 BUY OldMix @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs OldMix - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs OldMix - Map 2 Winner $1.2K
Sep 30 BUY LOS @ 99.9¢
LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner
LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner $1.7K
Sep 29 BUY Spirit Academy @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 Winner $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed