Satisfied-Fan
0x664a25f165a0150ce687410470f3352f5783fc5f
Satisfied-Fan: −$3.2K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 34%–74%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$3.2K
return −8.7%
Settled bets
20
$36K staked
Won
55.0%
95% range 34%–74%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.0K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$2.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 99¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Nongshim RedForce
@ 64¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner |
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 89¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $3.2K |
| Sep 8 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 57¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 4 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 26¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Aug 26 | BUY 1WIN
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Aug 26 | BUY G2
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Aug 26 | BUY HANJIN BRION
@ 40¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.