Regal-Mrna-Pomelo

0x65fa00bb62ae6be6fffc13ad0d45309ccdbd4c6a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Regal-Mrna-Pomelo: +$9 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$9
return +0.8%
Settled bets
6
$1.1K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$13
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$4
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner $1.3K
Sep 11 SELL ShindeN @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 9 SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner $1.4K
Aug 22 SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner $1.2K
Aug 21 BUY Spirit @ 99¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs $1.1K
Aug 21 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner $1.1K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed