Untried-Cathedral

0x65c18d740c8246af3353741c0b32e4b6da552988

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Untried-Cathedral: +$18K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 62% (95% range 36%–82%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$18K
return +25.4%
Settled bets
13
$69K staked
Won
61.5%
95% range 36%–82%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$23K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$5.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY Kansas City Royals @ 41¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros $5.3K
Aug 29 BUY 100 Thieves @ 45¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner $2.5K
Aug 29 BUY 100 Thieves @ 37¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs $2.5K
Aug 27 BUY Gen.G Esports @ 49¢
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs $2.8K
Aug 27 BUY Gen.G Esports @ 45¢
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs $6.6K
Aug 26 BUY Global Esports @ 77¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
Valorant: Global Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs $16K
Aug 23 BUY G2 Esports @ 70¢
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In $3.2K
Aug 23 BUY G2 Esports @ 70¢
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In $3.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed