Flimsy-Larva

0x65127f2b086038f79f16c83c848df01b7d70e713

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Flimsy-Larva: +$1.4K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.4K
return +30.3%
Settled bets
5
$4.7K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.1K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$2.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 BUY Browns @ 22¢
Browns vs. Buccaneers
Browns vs. Buccaneers $1.1K
Sep 18 BUY LSU @ 58¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $2.5K
Sep 17 SELL Ole Miss @ 44¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $2.0K
Sep 14 SELL Tatjana Maria @ 25¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend $2.4K
Sep 14 SELL Tatjana Maria @ 26¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend $1.5K
Aug 23 BUY Cruz Hewitt @ 26¢
Winston-Salem Open: Dino Prizmic vs Cruz Hewitt
Winston-Salem Open: Dino Prizmic vs Cruz Hewitt $2.0K
Aug 23 BUY Cruz Hewitt @ 47¢
Winston-Salem Open: Dino Prizmic vs Cruz Hewitt
Winston-Salem Open: Dino Prizmic vs Cruz Hewitt $5.0K
Aug 23 BUY Cruz Hewitt @ 24¢
Winston-Salem Open: Dino Prizmic vs Cruz Hewitt
Winston-Salem Open: Dino Prizmic vs Cruz Hewitt $2.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed