Misty-Backyard
0x64f2324a2dfc5f76866c019c99e35563a4172ddd
Misty-Backyard: −$2.6K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 23%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.6K
return −3.7%
Settled bets
13
$70K staked
Won
46.2%
95% range 23%–71%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$8.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$5.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 69¢
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-20? | $10K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-20? | $10K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-09-20? | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 40¢
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-09-20? |
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-09-20? | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes
@ 68¢
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-09-20? |
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-09-20? | $3.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-09-19? | $1.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 59¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? |
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | $19K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 65¢
Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16? |
Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16? | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.