Grubby-Convertible
0x63739796b47577a15c0b6d05cde710bda76da0b7
Grubby-Convertible: +$22K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 39%–78%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$22K
return +19.5%
Settled bets
20
$113K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 39%–78%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$22K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 30¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 44¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Oct 8 | BUY 1win
@ 34¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | $3.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Alexa Grasso
@ 97¢
Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) |
Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | $4.8K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Curtis Blaydes
@ 96¢
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) |
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | $27K |
| Sep 11 | BUY No
@ 99.84¢
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? |
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | $4.2K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Pipsqueak+4
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner | $2.1K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Team Lynx
@ 47¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A | $3.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.