Unrealistic-Doorbell

0x6368762641f182e0332713d7992bb0948e696dc8

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unrealistic-Doorbell: +$6.4K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 26%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$6.4K
return +14.4%
Settled bets
17
$44K staked
Won
47.1%
95% range 26%–69%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$5.5K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$808
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 SELL Iva Jovic @ 99.9¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimova $4.2K
Oct 5 SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $3.0K
Oct 4 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 69¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $1.2K
Oct 4 BUY Chiefs @ 69¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Chiefs vs. Raiders $1.5K
Oct 4 BUY Cowboys @ 42¢
Cowboys vs. Texans
Cowboys vs. Texans $1.0K
Oct 3 SELL Los Angeles Dodgers @ 97¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $1.4K
Oct 3 SELL G2 Esports @ 99.9¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C $2.4K
Aug 24 BUY Indiana Fever @ 85¢
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky $2.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed