Enormous-Vegetable

0x60ec17443af511a21945f01430e61c803465f7b0

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Enormous-Vegetable: −$34 on 32 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 72% (95% range 55%–84%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$34
return −0.1%
Settled bets
32
$50K staked
Won
71.9%
95% range 55%–84%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 31 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$1.9K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Nemiga @ 89¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $1.5K
Oct 2 BUY Xtreme Gaming @ 82¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Oct 1 BUY FaZe @ 38¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $1.1K
Oct 1 BUY Skillcamp Esport @ 84¢
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winner
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winner $3.0K
Sep 30 BUY Team Nemesis @ 87¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B $1.3K
Sep 30 BUY OG @ 82¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C $2.0K
Aug 22 BUY Disguised @ 93¢
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner $1.3K
Aug 22 BUY TEAM VISION @ 86¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed