Wilted-Gather

0x60b45e0313546c50c986276f0707213992586313

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wilted-Gather: −$3.1K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–43%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.1K
return −100.1%
Settled bets
5
$3.1K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–43%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$2.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY FaZe @ 65¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner $1.0K
Oct 1 SELL OG @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG - Game 2 Winner $1.1K
Sep 19 BUY Team Cobra @ 74¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Sep 19 BUY 1win @ 76¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage $1.0K
Sep 19 SELL 1win @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner $2.8K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed