Acclaimed-Aquifer
0x6051171bd8a4dd43fb58dd156dc2ef90600b3fcd
Acclaimed-Aquifer: −$858 on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 77% (95% range 50%–92%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$858
return −2.4%
Settled bets
13
$36K staked
Won
76.9%
95% range 50%–92%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$429
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$18
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$1.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
@ 95¢
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Sonic Boom
@ 94¢
Sonic Boom vs. LG Sakers |
Sonic Boom vs. LG Sakers | $1.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Kraken
@ 99.7¢
Flames vs. Kraken |
Flames vs. Kraken | $1.4K |
| Oct 4 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-04? | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Sonay Kartal
@ 99¢
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang |
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang | $4.5K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Yes
@ 97¢
United States leading at halftime? |
United States leading at halftime? | $1.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | $1.3K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Seattle Mariners
@ 98¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox |
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox | $4.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.