Variable-Peak

0x604a2b8ef97c90928c6917769289ad65140cea22

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Variable-Peak: +$4.6K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.6K
return +25.7%
Settled bets
7
$18K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 25%–84%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$1.6K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 28 SELL Anna Blinkova @ 99.9¢
Adana: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Blinkova
Adana: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Blinkova $1.0K
Sep 21 SELL Moyuka Uchijima @ 16¢
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Moyuka Uchijima
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Moyuka Uchijima $1.6K
Sep 3 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.5¢
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz $13K
Sep 3 SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99¢
US Open ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Frances Tiafoe
US Open ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Frances Tiafoe $12K
Sep 2 SELL Diana Shnaider @ 99¢
US Open WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider
US Open WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider $11K
Sep 2 BUY Diana Shnaider @ 90¢
US Open WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider
US Open WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider $9.9K
Aug 27 SELL Alycia Parks @ 99.9¢
Monterrey Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Alycia Parks
Monterrey Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Alycia Parks $5.6K
Aug 24 BUY Nikola Bartunkova @ 87¢
Monterrey Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola Bartunkova
Monterrey Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola Bartunkova $8.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed