Writhing-Chives
0x5ee0e9591d83b85edb73ba87ac40dbdf8473d6a6
Writhing-Chives: −$11K on 34 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 32%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$11K
return −21.8%
Settled bets
34
$52K staked
Won
47.1%
95% range 32%–63%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 30 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$9.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | BUY Arizona Diamondbacks
@ 69¢
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks |
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | $2.9K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Under
@ 54¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 | $2.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Under
@ 51¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 |
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Under
@ 45¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 | $1.4K |
| Sep 11 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 59¢
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants |
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | $1.2K |
| Sep 11 | SELL No
@ 81¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.2K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Under
@ 58¢
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5 |
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5 | $1.7K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Under
@ 54¢
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 |
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.