Coarse-Venison

0x5e9d75747028577c4a31f0d339ca92ad2c4fe88b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Coarse-Venison: +$2.8K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 65%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.8K
return +12.3%
Settled bets
7
$22K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 65%–100%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$11
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$4
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$2.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 BUY LGD Gaming @ 78¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A $5.7K
Oct 2 BUY Browns @ 82¢
Steelers vs. Browns
Steelers vs. Browns $5.0K
Sep 22 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? $1.2K
Sep 10 BUY Yes @ 99.79¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10? $1.7K
Aug 28 BUY Yes @ 99.79¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28? $2.4K
Aug 25 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25? $3.2K
Aug 24 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24? $3.2K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed