Homely-Corridor-Breastplate

0x5e1dd1093a14598fdff63622a89cdf6a922d4dd4

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Homely-Corridor-Breastplate: +$4.2K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 34%–70%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$4.2K
return +9.1%
Settled bets
25
$46K staked
Won
52.0%
95% range 34%–70%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$5.0K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$857
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 BUY LOUD @ 50¢
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 25 BUY Shopify Rebellion @ 93¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs $2.0K
Sep 19 SELL Movistar KOI @ 99.9¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $6.7K
Sep 18 SELL Movistar KOI @ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner $6.6K
Sep 18 BUY Movistar KOI @ 42¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner $1.0K
Sep 18 BUY Movistar KOI @ 41¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner $1.0K
Sep 18 SELL JD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner $14K
Sep 18 BUY JD Gaming @ 34¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed