Metallic-Percentage
0x5d3431449c0c26d0cc423cefbafb04cb7ae07c8c
Metallic-Percentage: −$6.9K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 23% (95% range 11%–42%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$6.9K
return −19.9%
Settled bets
26
$35K staked
Won
23.1%
95% range 11%–42%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 25 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$7.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$13K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 34¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 11¢
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs |
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Xtreme Gaming
@ 38¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Aurora
@ 23¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $2.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Team Nemesis
@ 28¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Team Nemesis
@ 28¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Sep 23 | BUY 3DMAX
@ 31¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY MOUZ
@ 34¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.