Lost-Nationality

0x5944f6f6c55e175cc4eb69d56c0a3c4d6983764e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Lost-Nationality: +$1.9K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.9K
return —
Settled bets
3
$0 staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 21 SELL @ 99.22¢
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers AND New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers AND New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles $4.4K
Aug 20 SELL Atlanta Braves @ 99.9¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox $1.3K
Aug 20 SELL FURIA @ 99.07¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs $1.4K
Aug 20 SELL Yes @ 24¢
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026? $2.0K
Aug 19 BUY Yes @ 19¢
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026? $2.0K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed