Soft-Injustice
0x581dbb72e16a20eaa47422cfaffbde8494da3458
Soft-Injustice: −$1.1K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 36%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.1K
return −2.3%
Settled bets
15
$50K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 36%–80%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$9.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$6.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY Raiders
@ 54¢
Spread: Saints (-2.5) |
Spread: Saints (-2.5) | $2.8K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Seahawks
@ 48¢
Spread: Seahawks (-8.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-8.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 46¢
Spread: Packers (-6.5) |
Spread: Packers (-6.5) | $7.9K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Broncos
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Broncos (-3.5) |
Spread: Broncos (-3.5) | $11K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Over
@ 43¢
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5 |
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5 | $2.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Over
@ 31¢
Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5 |
Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5 | $2.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Broncos
@ 51¢
Jaguars vs. Broncos |
Jaguars vs. Broncos | $5.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Commanders
@ 34¢
Commanders vs. Cowboys |
Commanders vs. Cowboys | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.