Both-Retirement-Regard
0x581abb13f6c2c768c868260d6dec2ee96df8e40d
Both-Retirement-Regard: −$343 on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 31%–83%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$343
return −2.2%
Settled bets
10
$16K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 31%–83%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$333
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$977
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$986
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Cloud9
@ 54¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 67¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 67¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY 1win
@ 66¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Movistar KOI
@ 63¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 49¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner | $1.7K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 56¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Aug 23 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 68¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.