0x578c…c8C1

0x578c31a7a005B03CDD8b23671dD58d5310FCc8C1

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0x578c…c8C1: −$667 on 59 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 32% (95% range 22%–45%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$667
return −8.5%
Settled bets
59
$7.8K staked
Won
32.2%
95% range 22%–45%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 5 – Sep 20
−$660
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$7
Settled profit in each two-week period since Sep 5. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −28.5% (538 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 26 SELL Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $75
Sep 26 BUY Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $77
Sep 26 SELL Down @ 50¢
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily $76
Sep 26 BUY Down @ 50¢
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily $78
Sep 26 SELL Down @ 50¢
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily $85
Sep 26 BUY Down @ 50¢
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily $88
Sep 26 SELL Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $85
Sep 26 BUY Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $88

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed