Irresponsible-Eicosanoid-Mattress

0x5785975b6be57422ed1d60e4b73616cb8537e5cb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Irresponsible-Eicosanoid-Mattress: −$327 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$327
return −8.1%
Settled bets
6
$4.0K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$327
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 BUY Inner Circle Esports @ 53¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B $1.1K
Sep 18 BUY BBL @ 80¢
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B $1.3K
Sep 17 BUY MIBR @ 30¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.6K
Sep 17 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 1 Winner $1.3K
Sep 17 SELL NRG @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 17 SELL Bounty Hunters Esports @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner $1.5K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed