Tidy-Disappointment
0x568ab8ba45ff7c97a9aed2cbe5db66935c2004d9
Profit
−$86K
return −28.5%
Settled bets
21
$302K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 17%–55%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$66K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$20K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | Bought Hubert Hurkacz
at 42¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz |
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz | $1.8K |
| Oct 5 | Sold Alina Charaeva
at 99.9¢
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal |
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal | $29K |
| Oct 5 | Sold Alina Charaeva
at 99.9¢
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal |
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal | $1.7K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Netherlands
at 47¢
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) |
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | $18K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Netherlands
at 48¢
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) |
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | $2.3K |
| Sep 27 | Sold Kimberly Birrell
at 99.9¢
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell |
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell | $54K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Natus Vincere
at 62¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $20K |
| Sep 27 | Bought Nikoloz Basilashvili
at 49¢
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili |
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | $16K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.