Grumpy-Pendant

0x551c8f09fffa54889974a101e2af2b92c13dfe91

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Grumpy-Pendant: +$2.6K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.6K
return +21.8%
Settled bets
8
$12K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 41%–93%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2.4K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$5.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Real Salt Lake vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5
Real Salt Lake vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5 $1.5K
Sep 10 BUY Yes @ 39¢
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-09-09?
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-09-09? $1.3K
Sep 8 SELL Over @ 30¢
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5 $1.6K
Sep 8 SELL Real Madrid CF @ 70¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) $1.4K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 79¢
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30? $3.3K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 81¢
Will GKS Katowice win on 2026-08-30?
Will GKS Katowice win on 2026-08-30? $1.5K
Aug 30 SELL Yes @ 74¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30? $3.1K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 65¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30? $2.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed