Husky-Labourer

0x54096e86cac2d70d04fd98ee16f633c7e9d479db

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Husky-Labourer: −$11K on 34 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 73%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$11K
return −5.0%
Settled bets
34
$214K staked
Won
88.2%
95% range 73%–95%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 34 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$846
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$5.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$6.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL No @ 97¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? $1.3K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? $5.0K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? $5.0K
Oct 4 BUY LYON @ 58¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? $4.9K
Sep 23 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? $5.1K
Sep 23 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? $6.5K
Sep 22 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? $5.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed