Dull-Catastrophe
0x515d285a7d5065d0406db39f8626313502c80340
Dull-Catastrophe: +$14K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 45%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$14K
return +32.2%
Settled bets
25
$44K staked
Won
64.0%
95% range 45%–80%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 25 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$8.6K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$3.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY FURIA
@ 37¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Karmine Corp Blue
@ 79¢
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY FURIA
@ 67¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 41¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY M80
@ 47¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 60¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY 1WIN
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Bushido Wildcats
@ 46¢
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs UCAM Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage |
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs UCAM Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.