Stable-Square-Painter

0x5116a7a42696e159f6ec142d888a2614e3be216d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Stable-Square-Painter: −$1.6K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 4%–40%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −20.9%
Settled bets
14
$7.6K staked
Won
14.3%
95% range 4%–40%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 12 BUY BIG @ 80¢
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 12 BUY Movistar KOI @ 55¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner $2.8K
Sep 12 BUY Anyones Legend @ 50¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $2.3K
Sep 12 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 46¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner $1.4K
Sep 12 SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.9K
Sep 12 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner $1.1K
Sep 12 SELL Legacy @ 99¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner $1.3K
Sep 12 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner $1.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed