Wasteful-Loincloth

0x50cae4c048af15f22e46b263b2371505eaf6bfdd

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wasteful-Loincloth: −$1.0K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.0K
return −95.1%
Settled bets
5
$1.1K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$1.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 6 BUY @ 70¢
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz AND US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend
US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz AND US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend $1.9K
Sep 1 SELL Yulia Putintseva @ 99.9¢
US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic $2.0K
Aug 31 SELL Mariano Navone @ 53¢
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic $1.1K
Aug 28 SELL Ignacio Buse @ 75¢
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi $1.2K
Aug 25 SELL Mananchaya Sawangkaew @ 94¢
Philadelphia: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Sloane Stephens
Philadelphia: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Sloane Stephens $1.1K
Aug 20 BUY Yes @ 71¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? $1.1K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed