Pale-Infancy
0x4e73d4ae46d9a9f633938144ad10c19a893dac97
Pale-Infancy: +$418 on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 9% (95% range 2%–38%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$418
return +20.9%
Settled bets
11
$2.0K staked
Won
9.1%
95% range 2%–38%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$432
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$14
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | SELL San Diego Padres
@ 99.9¢
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) |
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | $2.1K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Lotte Giants
@ 99.9¢
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins |
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins | $1.3K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Over
@ 99¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 |
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Athletics
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) |
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) |
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Over
@ 41¢
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 |
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Over
@ 69¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 |
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 |
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.