Admired-Fruit
0x4d8b891995dd35401c65d20c29e04b147644ce22
Admired-Fruit: −$25K on 28 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 15%–47%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$25K
return −41.4%
Settled bets
28
$60K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 15%–47%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 27 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$12K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$13K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 49¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 50¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY T1
@ 47¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 12 | SELL T1
@ 40¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY T1
@ 40¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 43¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $2.1K |
| Sep 8 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 38¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 32¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.