0x4c68…6162
0x4c681fbb7564d154e534feb9720fc63014106162
0x4c68…6162: −$490 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$490
return −3.3%
Settled bets
2
$15K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$490
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | BUY Yes
@ 88¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $15K |
| Aug 27 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | $15K |
| Aug 21 | SELL No
@ 92¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | $7.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.