Known-Pusher-Disk

0x4bd94bd2476c81bddc1a3e78280dc2cb311b3c72

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Known-Pusher-Disk: +$6 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$6
return +0.1%
Settled bets
3
$4.1K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$6
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 30 BUY Vitality @ 73¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $1.5K
Aug 30 SELL G2 @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $2.0K
Aug 30 BUY Team WE @ 51¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner $1.0K
Aug 30 BUY G2 @ 77¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $1.5K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed