Dry-Proofreader

0x4b59e178095b9bb5ba97598244f2ca8b02fc3aa6

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dry-Proofreader: −$9.2K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 15%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$9.2K
return −39.5%
Settled bets
11
$23K staked
Won
36.4%
95% range 15%–65%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$9.4K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$214
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 13 BUY WBT Academy @ 49¢
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WBT Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WBT Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In $1.9K
Sep 9 BUY Team Nemesis @ 65¢
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group B
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group B $1.7K
Sep 8 BUY Alliance @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B $2.6K
Sep 7 BUY Sinners @ 51¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.4K
Sep 4 BUY Sinners @ 68¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs QUAZAR (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs QUAZAR (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 3 BUY BIG @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs $2.1K
Sep 3 BUY Iberian Soul @ 44¢
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $3.6K
Aug 29 BUY 9INE @ 75¢
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs 9INE (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs 9INE (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B $3.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed