Super-Title
0x4b493d8ea89203ecfa5ac53ff8fc4a45aa050397
Super-Title: −$6.9K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$6.9K
return −76.7%
Settled bets
4
$9.0K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$6.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | BUY No
@ 45¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-29? |
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-29? | $1.6K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | $1.7K |
| Aug 25 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 58¢
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees |
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees | $3.0K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Philadelphia Phillies
@ 53¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners | $2.7K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.