Warm-Faucet

0x4b1fd3e771d8a49f6b3eae4e6000432d32dc49e6

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Warm-Faucet: +$1.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.2K
return +22.7%
Settled bets
4
$5.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$2.2K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 BUY Under @ 64¢
O/U 1.5 Rounds
O/U 1.5 Rounds $1.0K
Aug 23 BUY Vitor Petrino @ 58¢
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) $2.3K
Aug 23 BUY Reinier de Ridder @ 79¢
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) $1.9K
Aug 23 SELL Carli Judice @ 99.9¢
UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) $1.9K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed